- Old annals - matching (3 exercices)
- TD1 L4 (5 exercices)
- TD2 L4 (4 exercices)
- TD3 L4 (3 exercices)
- TD4 L4 (2 exercices)
- Newton's binomial formula (1 exercice)
R1R2R3R4B0,70,3
E.3219
For
each
of
the
three
questions,
full
marks
will
be
awarded
if
the
answer
is
correctly
justified.
The
three
questions
are
independent.
1
The
probability
of
an
individual
in
a
population
having
disease
M
is
equal
to
0.003
.
A
screening
test
for
this
disease
has
been
developed
;
with
this
test,
we
can
say
that
:
if
a
person
has
disease
M
,
the
test
is
positive
in
50
%
of
cases
;
the
test
is
positive
for
3
%
of
healthy
people.
What
is
the
probability,
to
the
nearest
0.01
,
of
having
disease
M
when
the
test
is
positive?
a
0.95
b
0.9
c
0.15
d
0.05
2
Consider
a
nail
board
of
this
type.
A
ball
B
is
thrown
from
the
top
of
the
board
and
falls
into
one
of
four
containers
labeled
R
1
,
R
2
,
R
3
,
and
R
4
.
At
each
stage,
the
ball
has
a
probability
of
0.3
of
going
to
the
left
and
0.7
of
going
to
the
right
(left
and
right
relative
to
the
observer)
.
Let
p
1
be
the
probability
that
the
ball
falls
into
bin
R
1
or
bin
R
3
and
p
2
be
the
probability
that
the
ball
falls
into
bin
R
2
or
bin
R
4
.
What
are
the
values
of
p
1
and
p
2
?
a
p
1
=
p
2
=0.5
b
p
1
=0.216
and
p
2
=0.784
c
p
1
=0.468
and
p
2
=0.532
d
p
1
=0.468
and
p
2
=0.432
3
The
first
1000
decimal
places
of
ı
are
given
here
by
a
computer
:
1415926535
8979323846
2643383279
5028841971
6939937510
5820974944
5923078164
0628620899
8628034825
3421170679
8214808651
3233066470
9384460959
0582235725
3594085234
8111745028
4102701930
5211055596
4462294895
4930301964
4288109756
6593344612
8475648233
7867831652
7120190914
5648566923
4603486534
5432664825
3393607260
2491412737
2450700660
6315580574
8815209209
6282925409
1715364367
8925903600
1133053054
8820466525
3841469519
4151160943
3057270365
7595919530
9218611738
1932611793
1051185480
7446297996
2749567355
8857527240
9122793318
3011949129
8336733624
4065664308
6025394946
3952247371
9070217986
0943702770
5392171762
9317675238
4674818467
6691051320
0056812714
5263560827
7857753427
9778900917
3637178721
4684409012
2495343054
6549585371
0507922796
8925892354
2019956112
1290219608
6403441815
9813629774
7713099605
1870721134
9999998372
9780499510
5973173281
6096318599
0244594553
4690830264
2522300253
3446850352
6193110017
1010003137
8387528865
8753320830
1420617177
6691473035
9825349042
8755460731
1595620633
8235378759
3751957781
8577805321
7122600661
3001927876
6111959092
1642019894
By
grouping
these
decimal
places
into
values
between
0
and
9
,
we
obtain
the
following
table
:
Valeurs
0
1
2
3
4
Occurrences
93
116
102
102
94
Valeurs
5
6
7
8
9
Occurrences
97
94
95
101
106
Using
a
table,
we
simulated
1000
experiments
of
1000
random
draws
of
a
number
between
0
and
9
.
For
each
experiment,
we
calculated
d
2
=
k
=9
k
=0
f
k
−
0.1
2
,
where
f
k
represents
the
observed
frequency
of
digit
k
for
the
experiment.
We
then
obtained
a
statistical
series
for
which
we
calcu-lated
the
first
and
ninth
deciles
(
d
1
and
d
9
),
the
first
and
third
quartiles
(
A
1
and
Q
3
)
and
the
median
(
Me
)
:
d
1
=
000.422
;
Q
1
=
0.000
582
;
M
e
=
0.000
822
Q
3
=
0.00
1136
;
d
9
=
0.00145
By
calculating
d
2
on
the
first
1000
decimal
places
of
ı
,
we
obtain
:
a
0.000
456
b
0.004
56
c
0.000
314
4
A
statistician
who
discovers
the
table
and
does
not
know
that
these
are
the
decimal
places
of
ı
hypothesizes
that
the
series
is
the
result
of
independent
random
draws
fol-lowing
an
equipartite
distribution.
He
takes
a
10
%
risk
of
rejecting
this
hypothesis
when
it
is
true.
Does
he
ac-cept
this
hypothesis?
a
Yes
b
No
c
He
cannot
conclude
2.
TD1
L4
E.8074
Consider
an
urn
in
which
there
are
five
green,
four
blue
and
one
red
token.
The
fol-lowing
random
experiment
consists
of
drawing
at
random
a
token
from
the
urn
and
noting
its
color.
1
Describe
the
universe
Ω
of
this
experiment.
2
Are
the
outcomes
of
this
random
experiment
equiproba-
https://chingmath.fr
sacados/3219
Antilles-Guyane
Septembre 2004
5 points
R1R2R3R4B0,70,3
chapExoCorrec/8074
sacados/8074
ble?
3
Name
an
elementary
event
and
a
non-elementary
event
associated
with
this
experiment.
E.8075
Let
A
,
B
and
C
be
three
events
in
a
universe
Ω
.
Translate
the
following
events
into
ensemblistic
terms
(using
only
the
symbols
for
union,
inter-section
and
complementary
passage,
as
well
as
A
,
B
and
C
)
:
a
Only
B
comes
true.
b
A
and
C
come
true,
but
not
B
.
c
Two
or
fewer
of
A
,
B
and
C
come
true.
E.8076
Let
be
a
universe
Ω
and
let
be
three
events
A
,
B
and
C
of
Ω
.
Translate
into
ensemblis-tic
terms
(using
only
the
symbols
for
union,
intersection
and
complementary
passage,
as
well
as
and)
the
following
events
:
1
Only
A
occurs.
2
A
and
B
come
true,
but
not
C
.
3
all
three
events
come
true.
4
at
least
one
of
the
three
events
comes
true.
5
at
least
two
of
the
three
events
come
true.
6
none
come
true.
7
at
most
one
of
the
three
comes
true.
8
exactly
two
of
the
three
come
true.
E.8077
Two
cards
are
drawn
simul-taneously
from
a
deck
of
32
cards.
Consider
the
following
events
:
A
:
ˇ
both
cards
are
carreaux
ı
B
:
ˇ
there
is
a
king
and
a
sept
ı
C
:
ˇ
both
cards
are
nombres
ı
What
do
the
following
events
represent?
a
B
b
A
∩
B
c
C
∩
B
d
A
∪
C
∩
B
E.8078
Two
events
A
and
B
are
such
that
:
P
A
=
0.35
;
P
B
=
0.4
;
P
A
∩
B
=
0.1
Calculer
P
A
∪
B
3.
TD2
L4
E.8079
A
bag
contains
6
balls,
indis-tinguishable
by
touch,
numbered
:
1
;
1
;
2
;
3
;
3
;
4
A
ball
is
drawn
at
random
and
its
number
noted.
We
name
X
the
random
variable
which,
to
a
drawn
ball
asso-ciates
its
number
to
it.
Determine
the
probability
law
of
the
random
variable
X
.
E.8080
Thirteen
people
gather
at
a
table
to
have
a
bite
to
eat.
In
how
many
different
ways
can
they
sit
on
the
thirteen
armchairs
if
:
1
these
armchairs
are
on
the
same
side
of
a
rectangular
table
(think
of
Da
Vinci’s
Last
Supper)
?
2
these
chairs
are
arranged
around
a
table
with
a
chairper-son’s
seat
and
six
chairs
on
either
side
(think
of
future
professional
meetings)
?
3
these
armchairs
are
arranged
regularly
around
a
round
table,
assuming
that
no
armchair
stands
out
from
the
others
(think
of
a
feast
among
diehard
Gauls)
?
E.8081
A
drawer
contains
5
distinct
pairs
of
black
shoes,
3
distinct
pairs
of
green
shoes
and
2
distinct
pairs
of
red
shoes.
We
choose
2
shoes
at
random.
1
How
many
possible
draws
are
there?
2
How
many
draws
contain
two
shoes
of
the
same
color?
3
How
many
draws
contain
a
left
foot
and
a
right
foot?
4
How
many
draws
contain
a
left
foot
and
a
right
foot
of
the
same
color?
E.8082
An
urn
contains
5
red
balls
and
3
black
balls
indistinguishable
to
the
touch.
A
ball
is
taken
at
random,
its
color
observed
and
then
returned
to
the
urn,
also
adding
a
ball
of
the
same
color
as
the
one
taken.
A
second
ball
is
then
taken
at
random
and
the
color
of
the
second
ball
observed.
1
What
is
the
probability
of
drawing
a
red
ball
on
the
first
draw?
2
Knowing
that
a
red
ball
was
drawn
on
the
first
sampling,
what
is
the
probability
of
drawing
a
black
ball
on
the
second
sampling?
3
Calculate
the
probability
of
drawing
a
red
ball
and
a
black
ball
in
this
experiment.
4
Verify
that
the
probability
of
drawing
a
red
ball
on
the
first
draw
knowing
that
a
red
ball
was
drawn
on
the
sec-ond
draw
is
equal
to
2
3
.
4.
TD3
L4
E.8083
Consider
a
random
variable
X
that
follows
the
binomial
distribution
with
parameters
20
and
0.4
.
Results
will
be
given
to
the
nearest
0.001
.
1
Calculate
P
X
=3
and
P
X
=11
.
https://chingmath.fr
chapExoCorrec/8075
sacados/8075
chapExoCorrec/8076
sacados/8076
chapExoCorrec/8077
sacados/8077
chapExoCorrec/8078
sacados/8078
chapExoCorrec/8079
sacados/8079
chapExoCorrec/8080
sacados/8080
chapExoCorrec/8081
sacados/8081
chapExoCorrec/8082
sacados/8082
chapExoCorrec/8083
sacados/8083
02468101214161820C2C1C3
2
Calculate
P
X
2
;
P
X
18
(round
this
probability
to
the
nearest
0.000
001
)
.
E.8084
An
urn
contains
30
tokens,
of
which
6
are
red.
Each
day
a
person
randomly
draws
a
token
from
the
urn
and
then
puts
it
back
in.
Consider
a
positive
non-zero
integer
n
and
denote
X
the
random
vari-able
corresponding
to
the
number
of
red
tokens
drawn
after
n
consecutive
days.
1
What
is
the
law
of
X
?
Justify.
If
necessary,
values
in
the
following
questions
will
be
rounded
to
the
nearest
thousandth.
2
What
is
the
probability
that
on
10
consecutive
days,
the
person
draws
4
red
tokens?
at
least
1
red
token?
3
What
must
be
the
minimum
number
of
consecutive
days
for
the
probability
of
no
red
tokens
drawn
to
be
less
than
0.001
?
E.8085
A
transport
company
wishes
to
optimize
controls
in
order
to
limit
fraud.
This
company
carries
out
a
study
based
on
2
journeys
per
day
during
the
20
working
days
of
a
month,
i.e.
a
total
of
40
journeys.
It
is
assumed
that
the
checks
are
independent
of
each
other
and
that
the
probability
of
any
traveler
being
checked
is
equal
to
p
.
A
journey
costs
10
euros
and
in
the
event
of
fraud
the
fine
is
100
euros
(we
only
pay
the
fine
and
not
the
journey
in
addi-tion)
.
Theo
systematically
cheats
on
the
40
journeys
studied.
We
denote
X
the
random
variable
that
counts
the
number
of
trips
where
Theo
was
checked.
1
It
is
assumed
that
p
=0.5
.
The
probability
that
Theo
will
be
checked
at
most
2
times
is
:
a
0.2
b
0.97
c
7
×
10
−
10
d
2
×
10
−
1
2
Let
Z
be
the
random
variable
giving
the
algebraic
gain
made
by
Theo
over
the
40
journeys.
Justify
that
Z
=400
−
100
·
X
then
calculate
E
(
Z
)
.
3
The
value
of
p
is
no
longer
known.
For
what
values
of
p
is
systematic
fraud
favorable
to
Theo?
Justify.
We
will
give
the
set
of
values
of
p
fulfilling
this
condition
in
the
form
of
an
interval
whose
bounds
will
be
rounded
to
the
nearest
hundredth.
5.
TD4
L4
E.8086
Ten
solar
panels
are
installed
on
the
roof
of
a
house
located
in
a
region
with
regular
sun-shine
and
produce
electricity.
We
denote
by
Y
the
random
variable
which,
on
each
day,
associates
the
electrical
produc-tion
supplied
by
these
10
panels...
expressed
in
kWh
.
The
variable
Y
follows
the
binomial
distribution
with
param-eters
—
=9
and
ff
=3
.
1
What
is
the
probability
(to
within
10
−
2
)
that
daily
pro-duction
will
be
between
6
and
12
kWh
?
2
Which
of
the
three
probability
density
functions
shown
below
can
be
the
law
of
Y
?
Justify.
3
The
occupants
of
the
house
consume
on
average
10
kWh
per
day
(excluding
heating
and
hot
water)
.
a
What
is
the
probability
(to
within
10
−
3
)
that
the
pan-els’
daily
output
exceeds
average
daily
consumption?
b
What
would
this
family’s
average
daily
consumption
have
to
be,
in
kWh
,
for
this
probability
to
be
approx-imately
90
%
?
We’ll
round
the
answer
to
the
tenth.
E.8087
1
Let
X
be
a
random
variable
following
the
normal
distri-bution
N
20
;
25
,
i.e.
its
expectation
equals
20
and
its
standard
deviation
equals
5
.
a
Give
the
value
of
the
numbers
a
and
b
so
that
the
ran-dom
variable
Z
defined
by:
Z
=
X
−
a
b
follows
the
centered
and
reduced
normal
distribution.
b
Calculate
to
the
nearest
10
−
3
:
P
X
28)
;
P
X
>
28)
;
P
X
=28)
P
X
28)
;
P
12
<x<
28)
;
P
15
<x<
25)
c
Determine,
to
the
nearest
unit,
the
number
¸
such
that
:
P
X<¸
)
=
0.99
d
Determine,
to
the
nearest
unit,
the
number
˛
such
that
:
P
20
−
˛<X<
20
+
˛
)
=
0.95
2
Let
Y
be
such
that
Y
follows
N
m
;
4
.
Calculate
m
to
the
nearest
0.1
so
that
:
P
Y
>
25
=0.95
3
Let
T
be
such
that
T
follows
N
20
;
ff
2
.
Calculate
ff
to
the
nearest
unit
so
that
:
P
0
<T<
40
=0.99
6.
Newton’s
binomial
formula
https://chingmath.fr
chapExoCorrec/8084
sacados/8084
chapExoCorrec/8085
sacados/8085
chapExoCorrec/8086
sacados/8086
02468101214161820C2C1C3
chapExoCorrec/8087
sacados/8087
E.8559
Let
n
be
a
non-zero
natural
number:
1
Establish
equality:
n
k
=1
k
·
n
k
=
n
·
2
n
−
1
2
Deduce
the
equality:
n
k
=1
k
−
1
·
n
k
=
n
·
2
n
−
1
−
2
n
https://chingmath.fr
chapExoCorrec/8559
sacados/8559